June 22nd, 2015 by Mary Ongubo

SportPesa Today’s Games prediction and analysis

So your one of those free loaders who wouldn’t part with a measly 200bob a week for Tupesa premium predictions and your stuck with continuous losses due to misleading odds and using some head to head analysis from the other sites I had provided.So where do you get free sportpesa predictions and tips backed by good reasoning and stats.A great place to look for Sportpesa today’s games predictions and analysis is from here. I wanted to answer a lot of questions many first timers to this website usually ask, where Kenyan punters whether betting on sportpesa,betpawa.co.keelitebetkenya,betin,betway,justbet or royalbet the challenges are the same.

I run a premium paid membership where I send my best prematch bets to members for a small weekly fee of Ksh.650 for 7 days of 4-8 bets per day sent by sms for daily games. Live betting is available on several websites in Kenya I prefer betpawa.co.ke.

After a lot of success over the last 3 years, i’ve decided to start Tupesa where I  answer questions from readers about my betting experience and betting in Kenya in general. Tupesa is designed to help people with their betting and get insight from someone with years of experience and bags of profit.

If you have any questions about my paid Sportpesa predictions membership, FREE In-plays, my betting experience or betting in Kenya general, be sure to contact us on 0710-792-715 (support line for daily matches and jackpots. Daily matches now cost kes 100 while Jackpots cost kes 250. We send them using typical SMS/Text Message service upon payment. Please note that payment can only be made to the number provided.) and we’ll have your questions answered and maybe up on site with my full answer as soon as possible!

Here are a few FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS: 

WHEN DID YOU START BETTING?
I started betting for fun back in 2013 but it wasn’t until 2014 when I started taking the betting game seriously and realised that I could make an extra long term profit from it.
WHAT WAS YOUR STARTING BALANCE?
When I began taking things seriously in late 2014, I started with a Ksh.8,000 balance. This is the bank roll i’d recommend for anyone thinking of taking this game seriously.
HOW MUCH HAVE YOU WON SO FAR?
Between 2012 and 2014, I just bet for fun so I have no idea what I staked or anything but its more than likely that I lost a bit of cash. I began recording everything from 2015. In 2015 I staked a total of 77,000 and I returned a total of 136,000, giving me a profit of 59,000
 
WHAT’S YOUR AFFILIATION TO SPORTPESA/BETPAWA.CO.KE/BETIN/BETWAY/ELITEBET etc?

I have joined several betting sites in Kenya offering todays games other than sportpesa and I’m open / honest about this. What does this mean? I am able to get the most value since I can compare prices of several betting sites in Kenya for todays games. Does this mean you have to have many accounts ? OF COURSE NOT, as long as your betting site whether Sportpesa or whatever is comfortable for you continue to use it up to a point where you need more features that are not on your site.This is more so for sportpesa games where they have no LIVE BETTING,No DRAW NO BET(DNB),No UNDER/OVER 1.5 fulltime.
These are many more can be found on betpawa.co.ke. All you need to do is register there. Believe it or not, people who sign up for my paid membership are rarely ever on Sportpesa , its 69% likely that they have other betting sites like ,Bet Pawa, Bet Yetu, Mcheza and the rest to place their bets, so by producing consistent winners and making a long term profit (which I do). There’s a lot of people on social media who portray paid memberships  as scum, which isn’t true in my opinion. I’m human, I want to make as much money as possible and if this means I can do so by producing consistent winners for myself and my followers AS WELL AS making profit elsewhere, then who I am to say no to that. Please note that if you’re not a fan of paid Sportpesa predictions, simply don’t join and just follow the FREE tips found online or elsewhere.
HOW DO YOU RESEARCH?
I use many online resources to do my research but a lot comes from the knowledge i’ve acquired from years of experience. I know most leagues world wide inside out and this experience is something research can’t give you. As for statistical research, I use different sites to check recent form, team news, H2H comparison and even information that can have an effect on the game such as weather, location etc… I am also a member of several online tipping services that charge over $99 per week.
DO YOU KNOW ANY REPUTABLE TIPSTERS I CAN JOIN?
Yes, I have used a number of sites. Some or popular others not but across the board, Mjomba at Mjomba.com is my favourite. We have added their number here in this site because we believe they also have quality tips. East or west, you’ll come to find that Mjomba is the best hands down but you can also do your research if you want. If you want to try their tips, we have added the contact at the end of the article.

WHAT’S THE KEY TO A LONG TERM PROFIT?
DISCIPLINE! Without being disciplined, you’ll lose your full bank very quickly. You must NEVER chase losses and you must realise that losing bets is all part of the game. If you think you’re going to win 100% of the time, you’ll lose 100% of the time in the long run. The quicker you accept on bad days that you have to shut the laptop and restart tomorrow instead of chasing losses, the quicker you’ll become disciplined. The reason 99.9% of bettors can’t make a long term gain from sportpesa is because they aren’t disciplined enough.
WHAT STAKE DO YOU PUT ON EACH BET?
It all depends on how much I like the bet and what the odds are. For lower odds bets, I tend to bet a higher stake and for higher odds bets, I tend to keep the stakes at the lower end. I’ll never discuss my exact stakes or post images of my exact stakes but I post a photo of my balance at the end of almost every day, so why is that? As people know, my balance is a lot higher than probably 95% of my members so I don’t want to post images of me betting high stakes and encourage irresponsible gambling. I will NOT promote irresponsible gambling and I believe you should NEVER bet what you can’t afford, so by posting images of my balance each day instead of posting each bet and stake, i’m not in anyway encouraging people to follow high stakes, i’m instead showing the progression in my balance.
 COMMENT WITH YOUR QUESTIONS AND I’LL ANSWER THEM ON HERE!

Glossary of some betting terms on Sportpesa an other widely used betting platforms like BetPawa.co.ke:

Pretty much every day of my life as a tipster I’m asked what something means
Here’s a quick glossary of some betting terms to help you understand:
Value – often misinterpreted as “Odds Against” / a bet over evens, but is actually the different between the bookmakers price on any selection vs your personal opinion of an event happening. E.G. If you feel Liverpool have a 70% chance of winning this weekend, they should be priced at 1.43 or 4/9. If instead they were priced at 4/6 then this indicates value for you as you feel the likely outcome is greater than the price being offered
  • U1.5, U2.5, U3.5 etc – the U here simply means Under

  • TG – Team Goals – O1.5TG for example would mean you need a team to score 2 or more

  • Treble – 3 selections that all need to win for your bet to win

  • Trixie – a bet with 3 selections where your stake is placed equally on 3 doubles and a treble. E.G. A 50p trixie on selections ABC would total £2 with 50p placed on AB, AC, BC and ABC

  • Single – a bet containing only one selection

  • Spreads – another term for handicap

  • WDW – means Win-Draw-Win and is often used to describe the most popular market in football betting which is the outcome of the match
  • SP – means “starting price” and indicates the price of a selection at the point when the event begins

  • Stake – the amount you place on a selection

  • O1.5, O2.5, O3.5 etc – The O here simply means Over

  • Odds On – when the price of a selection is lower than EVENS it’s described as “Odds On”

  • Odds Against – when the price of a sleection is greater than EVENS it’s described as “Odds Against”

  • Outlay – the amount of money you have on any selection

  • NAP – mainly used in Horse Racing to describe the best bet of the day

  • NB – stands for “Next Best” and is again mainly used in Horse Racing to describe the 2nd best bet of the day

  • MG – Match Goals – the total number of goals in a match

  • Lay – the opposite of backing a bet is to “lay” it or to bet against a particular outcome

  • Longshot – an outsider that is deemed to have less chance of winning by the bookmakers

  • Lump – the act of putting a larger than normal bet on a selection. Not reccommended

  • Acca / Accumulator – a bet using multiple selections

  • Inplay – betting on a selection that is happening now and live
  • Handicap – a way of creating value in bets by either giving a team a goal or more headstart or starting from a losing position. E.G. Man City -1 Handicap would mean they need to win by 2 or more
  • GG – an abbreviation of Goals Galore, the same as Both Teams to Score
  • Double – two selections that both need to win for your bet to win
  • Cover – if you backed Over 2.5 Goals in a game and there were 2 early goals, the act of then backing Under 2.5 Goals to guarantee a win either way is known as a “cover” bet
  • Arb / Arbitrage – to back all outcomes of an event in such a way that a win is guaranteed

  • BTTS / BTS – Both Teams to Score / Both To Score

  • Back – to “back” a bet means to bet on the outcome happening

  • Banker – a bet that is expected to win

  • DNB – Draw No Bet – You get a refund if the game ends in a draw

  • DC – means double chance, backing a team to either win or draw a game

  • FH – an abbreviation of First Half

  • FGS – First Goalscorer

  • FT – Full Time

  • Favourite – the most likely outcome of an event according to bookmakers

  • Form – a guide of recent performances

  • Evens – when the price of a selection is more than 2.

You may bump into one or several of such times but bettingwide, they are definitely something you need to learn and master! By the way, have you guys played on betpawa.co.ke?

IF YOU NEED A MULTIBET OR JACKPOT BET, TEXT OR CALL 0710-792-715

Posted in Betin.co.ke, Elitebet Kenya, Make money online in Kenya, SportPesa, Sportpesa Jackpot, Uncategorized Tagged with: , , , , , , , , ,

June 2nd, 2015 by Mary Ongubo

 Tupesa #JackpotCracker Week 4 Trial

Record to beat

by Abdirashid Bashir

This week we are aiming at 12/13

About the #JackpotCracker Challenge

Here is what the Challenge is all about.
•100 individuals will be picked to participate in the third trial.(Week four)
•We will analyse the Sportpesa Jackpot and come up with 100 most probable jackpot outcomes (100 jackpot predictions) In other words 100 jackpot picks.
•The 100 individuals will get onejackpot bet each delivered via smsand email on Friday.Each and everyindividual will place a bet (jackpotbet) upon receiving the jackpot betfrom #Tupesa Kenya and then foward the jackpot bet confirmationsms received from Sportpesa to
‪#‎TupesaKenya either via email or sms.

Note : Only those who place bets and

fowardthe sms received from sportpesa

to us upon placing the bets will receive the

share of bonus if we win any.

Any person who will be picked should be ready,able and willing to place the jackpot bet.
NB : Having 100 jackpot picks is not a guarantee that we will have a jackpot/bonus winner.This will only increase the chances of us getting a winner.Facing the facts,the sportpesa jackpot has a total of 3^13=1594323 possible outcomes.Comparing this to our 200 picks will give you a clear view of
events.We will not be assured of having a winner but the chances of us getting a jackpot/bonus winner
will be high.
•The 100 individuals will get the predictions for FREE
•The predictions will be sent via email and as a text message (sms) on Friday at 10:00 AM.

If we will have a jackpot/bonus
winner,the winner will  voluntarily
give 10% of the total winnings to
TupesaKenya

The money (10%) which the winner will give to TupesaKenya will be shared equally among the 200
participants while the remaining 90% belongs to the winner.

•Anyone interested,willing,ready and honest enough to be trusted,send your name,phone number and email to :

tupesaKE@gmail.com

ALL PREDICTIONS WILL BE SENT TO YOU ON FRIDAY 1100HRS

Goodluck

 

 

#JackpotCracker  Challenge Results 10/7/2015
Top 10
1.0704…116 8/13 (2)
2.0729…448 7/13
3.0723…297 7/13
4.0721…205 7/13
5.0704…116 7/13 (2)
6.0729…182 6/13
7.0719…482 6/13
8.0725…719 6/13
9.0706…263 6/13
10.0728…368 6/13
35 Out of 60 participants placed bets.Thank you for participating.We didn’t have winners but our hopes are still high.Goodluck.
www.tupesa.co.ke

Posted in SportPesa Tagged with:

December 16th, 2014 by Mary Ongubo

How to win SportPesa Jackpot

Its quite an obssession to all Kenyan punters.Sportpesa offers a cool 5-9m cash prize to anyone who correctly predicts the 13 games in their Jackpot.Incidentally,the Jackpot was won last weekend,worth 8.9m,only for the second time in close to a year now since its inception.It entails a 100 KES stake for all the 13 games offerred weekly,quite affordable.

There has been debate on whether the Jackpot can be won or not.Apparently it can!The ist winner walked way with 5m and now the second has bagged 8.9m.For those asking,Pevans can afford to pay a Jackpot winner every week.Sportpesa is not only a 400m investment ,but also makes millions from the same Jackpot every week through those who do not win it.

Facts about winning the Sportpesa Jackpot

1.It requires Patience.Only 2 winners in a year only means one thing,its not easy (though still possible)to win the jackpot at the ist trial.You gotta keep trying each and every week.The reason why there are not too many winners is because many people are giving up within a short time.No matter how deep your analysis is,the probabilities involved in 13 matches are  very high,and thus the chances of winning remain slim at a single event.Patiently playing it every week is the only way to coming closer to win it.

2.Every Strategy has a chance.The jackpot games are played in the one way win-draw-win ,and  being 13 matches,alot of chance rather than genius is involved.Thus,whatever your betting strategy is,eg home wins or the favourite wins,one day it will be spot on.In betting, quite often a trend is achieved eg in one weekend all the favourites win.This means that if one is consistent with their betting strategy,they stand a great chance to win one day.The probabilities will roam until one day they settle on your predictions.Therefore,now that your strategy is valid,be consistent and wait for your lucky day!

3.Though luck is involved,it cannot be won blindly like other lotterries that are pure chance.The jackpot needs first,a betting strategy,that will be informed by a mild analysis.For instance,the chances of winning the jackpot with choosing winners randomly (read  eyes closed) is minimal.There are obvious games that can be predicted correctly.Thus,ist do a little research on each game and apply your betting strategy ,eg Select all favourites to win and in form underdogs to draw.

The best way to win the Jackpot is though the Tupesa Sportpesa Jackpot cracker challenge to check it out

Viable betting Strategies to employ in predicting the jackpot

1.All favourites to win.This can be done in two ways.One ,you can research on all the teams and place wins for the teams that are displayed as stronger by head to head stats and analysis like the one in this site,or you can use the odds provided by the bookie on site.However,research is better because sometimes odds compilers depend entirely on History to dictate odds rather than the current situation on the ground.For example,Borrussia Dortmund has appeared as a favourite in all sites this year despite losing 90% of their games in the ist half of the season and being bottom of Bundesliga because of their past feats.

2.Favourites to win and in form underdogs to draw/win.This means that you select all heavy favourites using any of the ways in (1) above to win,and any in form Underdog to win/draw.In form underdogs entail teams that have been revitalised by new managers eg Crystal palace and WBA ,and determined relegation fighters,say Burnley and traditional giant killers eg Swansea City inn the EPL.Their ability to win or draw will be determined by the size and form of opponent.

3.Purely analytical strategy.This involves putting each game into analytical context and being sensitive to all the factors affecting that game.For instance,Bayern Munich can be offerred as a heavy favorite,but you bet on the underdog because of their(BM) poor away form.Thus,many factors are put in play.Injuries,new managers,home /away form,distractors eg Gerrad departure announcement and Ronaldo’s breakup; emotion eg due to rivalry;geography eg derbies among other factors are all weighed in a game and the major determinant is identified and used to predict the game.For example,Many Benfica European finals have ended in losses,apparently due to a hoodoo dating back to the 1960s in which one of their former managers cursed them saying that they will never win a European cup final.

With one of the strategies above,rest assured one day you shall win the Jackpot.Remember,Patience and Consistency are core.Meanwhile,we shall be routinely posting our JACKPOT PREDICTIONS in this page,stay tuned ,and Goodluck!

[sociallocker id=”4029″]  The Ultimate Guide to Sports Betting In Kenya  [/sociallocker]

IF YOU NEED A MULTIBET OR JACKPOT BET, TEXT OR CALL 0710-792-715

Posted in Make money online in Kenya, SportPesa Tagged with: , , , ,